广西合浦盆地干热岩资源成热条件及潜力评价     

康志强  张起钻  管彦武  冯波  袁金福  孙明行  刘德民  王新宇  杨志强  陆济璞  张勤军  冯民豪 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2020,50(4):1151-1160

为了对广西合浦盆地干热岩资源成热条件及其潜力进行评价，利用广西航磁勘查数据，采用Parker-Oldenburg法反演计算了居里面深度。在此基础上进行大地热流密度值和不同埋深地温计算，发现计算结果与现有测温资料吻合，合浦盆地内西场凹陷和常乐凹陷具有干热岩资源成生条件。结合合浦盆地内基础地质调查资料和油气钻孔资料，分析了合浦盆地干热岩资源的储层和盖层条件。初步圈出2个位于西场凹陷和常乐凹陷的干热岩勘查靶区C1和C2，面积分别为167.10和72.90 km²，干热岩资源量分别为182.48×10¹⁵、77.59×10¹⁵ J。按20%的采收率，合浦盆地干热岩资源量可开采量为52.01×10¹⁵ J，折合标准煤177.48×10⁴ t，占2018年广西全区能源生产总量3 756.69×10⁴ t标准煤的4.72%。在资源量评价基础上，可优先考虑位于合浦盆地西场凹陷的C1靶区开展进一步的勘探工作。  相似文献   

Moisture tension in fine-grained reconstituted soils at high initial water contents     

Sun  Wen-Jing  Cui  Yu-Jun  Hong  Zhen-Shun  Wang  Han-Lin  Liu  Ke 《Acta Geotechnica》2020,15(9):2591-2598

Acta Geotechnica - The reclamation of land filled with high water content dredged clays is an important geological and geo-environmental issue. When designing such reclaimed land, the yield...  相似文献   

Edge-driven convection and thinning of craton lithosphere: Two-dimensional thermal-mechanical modeling     

Liu  Danhong  Chen  Lin 《中国科学:地球科学(英文版)》2019,62(12):2106-2120

Science China Earth Sciences - There are usually abrupt changes in lithospheric thickness at the boundaries between ancient cratons and adjacent young mobile belts. Lateral variations in...  相似文献   

甘肃省会宁县和定西市安定区退耕农户恩格尔系数差异     

刘璐璐  李锋瑞 《中国沙漠》2019,39(6):192-199

测度退耕还林农户的恩格尔系数并分析其显著影响因素及差异性，对于完善退耕还林政策、巩固退耕还林成果、改善退耕农户贫困状况具有重要的现实意义。选取位于黄土高原丘陵沟壑区的会宁县和定西市安定区退耕户跟踪数据，基于收入、政策、家庭因素等多个层面构建相关经济指标，揭示两个区域退耕户恩格尔系数呈现的基本特征、显著影响因素及其差异性。结果表明：首先，由于自然地理环境和区位相近，会宁县和安定区退耕户恩格尔系数呈现出较为一致的高位波动趋势，消费需求弹性较弱是主要影响因素；其次，退耕还林户补贴率对会宁县恩格尔系数有显著的负向影响，说明退耕还林政策对当地居民经济生活具有显著影响，安定区退耕还林户补贴率对恩格尔系数有显著的正向影响，主要原因是退耕还林补贴额在家庭收入中所占比重较少；最后，会宁县和安定区农户退耕率对恩格尔系数有显著影响，这意味着退耕户的主要收入来源于农业收入。  相似文献   

建筑结构地震易损性分析研究综述   总被引：4，自引：4，他引：0  

贾晗曦  林均岐  刘金龙 《震灾防御技术》2019,14(1):42-51

地震易损性是指在不同强度水平的地震作用下建筑结构发生各种破坏的条件概率。本文对地震易损性分析的发展历程进行回顾和总结，介绍了地震易损性的相关概念、研究目的和意义以及5个表达工具。随后，针对国内外学者对建筑结构的易损性分析方法开展了系统的梳理和分析，特别是从基于震害调查的经验分析法和基于数值模拟的理论计算法方面展开了重点综述，并简单介绍了一些不常用的方法。最后指出了国内外对建筑结构易损性分析研究的不足和未来的研究方向。  相似文献   

Time-variant fragility analysis of the bridge system considering time-varying dependence among typical component seismic demands     

Song  Shuai  Qian  Yongjiu  Liu  Jing  Xie  Xiaorui  Wu  Gang 《地震工程与工程振动(英文版)》2019,18(2):363-377

This paper presents a copula technique to develop time-variant seismic fragility curves for corroded bridges at the system level and considers the realistic time-varying dependence among component seismic demands. Based on material deterioration mechanisms and incremental dynamic analysis, the time-evolving seismic demands of components were obtained in the form of marginal probability distributions. The time-varying dependences among bridge components were then captured with the best fitting copula function, which was selected from the commonly used copula classes by the empirical distribution based analysis method. The system time-variant fragility curves at different damage states were developed and the effects of time-varying dependences among components on the bridge system fragility were investigated. The results indicate the time-varying dependence among components significantly affects the time-variant fragility of the bridge system. The copula technique captures the nonlinear dependence among component seismic demands accurately and easily by separating the marginal distributions and the dependence among them.  相似文献   

整点气温缺测的插补方法研究及其初步应用     

闫丽莉  温少妍  高文晶  刘传军  杨甜 《震灾防御技术》2019,14(2):446-455

长期连续完整的历史气温资料是震前气温异常判别研究的重要数据基础。本文考虑了参考站与缺测站之间的距离，建立改进的线性回归模型。利用该模型插补缺测和错误的气温整点值数据，在一定程度上解决了长期连续观测数据缺测的情况。通过对收集的唐山观测站气温整点值数据进行插补，并应用插补完整的数据分析研究了2012年5月28日唐山4.8级地震前兆异常。结果表明:①插补值与其前后观测值衔接吻合，插补后完整连续数据符合夏高冬低的年变规律；②插补误差在±0.5℃范围内的比例为60.2%，在±0.8℃范围内的比例为80.3%，其误差绝对值大于1.0℃的比例为9.6%，平均绝对误差为0.84℃，插补值与观测值的相关系数大部分在0.9以上；③从3月27日起出现增温异常，特别是震前2天增温幅度约8℃。  相似文献   

低周反复荷载下Q460钢材框架柱抗震性能分析     

刘宽  马煜东  黄娇  刘笑笑  苏佶智 《震灾防御技术》2019,14(3):535-554

为了进一步完善Q460钢材在抗震设计规范中相关限值的要求，本文利用有限元软件ABAQUS，以轴压比、翼缘宽厚比、腹板高厚比和壁板宽厚比为变量，建立了共48根“工”字型框架柱和“箱”型框架柱，分析了其抗震性能。结果表明:翼缘宽厚比对框架柱的能量耗散系数影响较小；能量耗散系数随轴压比、腹板高厚比（“工”字型）和壁板宽厚比（“箱”型）增大而明显减小；框架柱的极限承载力随轴压比的减小及壁板宽厚比和翼缘宽厚比的增大而逐渐增大，当腹板高厚比接近规范限值时，承载力下降趋势明显增大。与采用Q235钢材的框架柱相比，Q460钢材框架柱的延性较小，仅为2左右；当采用Q460钢材时，“工”字型框架柱的极限位移角限值建议取为0.03，“箱”型框架柱的极限位移角限值建议取为0.032。规范中对翼缘宽厚比限值的规定偏于保守，其值最大可取至9。无论是“工”字型框架柱还是“箱”型框架柱，其腹板高厚比均不宜过大。Q460钢材框架柱的刚度退化率随轴压比的增大而增强，且翼缘宽厚比越大，腹板高厚比越小，柱的初始刚度越大，刚度退化程度越明显。  相似文献   

室内管道系统抗震研究综述   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

刘志斌  郭恩栋  李倩  李玉芹 《震灾防御技术》2019,14(3):591-599

根据最新震害统计资料发现，非结构构件在地震中造成的经济损失远大于结构构件。非结构构件按照地震反应特征可分为位移敏感型构件和加速度敏感型构件。其中，位移敏感型构件的破坏多受层间位移角控制，主要采用拟静力试验进行研究；加速度敏感型构件的破坏多受楼面加速度的控制，主要采用振动台试验进行研究。室内管道系统是非结构构件的重要组成部分，室内管道系统中的立管和水平管分别属于位移敏感型和加速度敏感型构件。本文系统地论述了近年来国内外学者开展的关于室内管道系统的抗震研究工作，并对室内管道系统下一步的研究工作提出了建议。  相似文献   

Rising grain prices in response to phased climatic change during 1736–1850 in the North China Plain     

Wen  Yanjun  Fang  Xiuqi  Liu  Yang  Li  Yikai 《中国科学:地球科学(英文版)》2019,62(11):1832-1844

Grain price volatility during historical periods is regarded as an important indicator of the impact of climate change on economic system, as well as a key link to adjust food security and social stability. The present study used the wheat prices in Baoding Prefecture, China, during 1736–1850 to explore connections between climatic transition and grain price anomalies in the North China Plain. The main findings were as follows:(1) The grain price change showed an apparent correspondence with climatic transition. The period 1781–1820 was a transition phase, with more extremes and decreased precipitations when the climate shifted from a warm phase to a cold one. Corresponding with the climatic transition, the grain price during 1781–1820 was characterized by that the mean of the original grain price series was significantly higher(lower) than the previous(later)phase, and the variance and anomaly amplitude of the detrended grain price series was the highest during 1736–1850.(2) The correspondence between grain price extremes and drought events occurred in phases. Five grain price extremes occurred following drought events during 1781–1810, while extreme droughts were the direct cause of the grain price spike during 1811–1820.(3) Social stability affected by climate change also played an important role in the grain price spike between 1811 and 1820. Paralleling the pathway of "precipitation-grain production-grain price", climate change could have an impact on grain price via the pathway of "precipitation-grain production-grain price-famine-uprising-grain price", as shown during the Tianli Uprising in 1813. These findings could contribute to an improved understanding of the interaction between climate change and human society during the historical period.  相似文献